2011 Country Reports on Terrorism: Strategic Assessment
Following is the text of the strategic assessment of the U.S. Department of
State's 2011 Country Reports on Terrorism, issued July 31. The full text of the
report is available on the U.S. Department of State website at http://www.state.gov/j/ct/rls/crt/2011/index.htm.
U.S. Department of State
Bureau of Counterterrorism
Released July 31, 2012
Country Reports on Terrorism 2011 is submitted in compliance with Title 22
of the United States Code, Section 2656f (the "Act"), which requires the
Department of State to provide to Congress a full and complete annual report on
terrorism for those countries and groups meeting the criteria of the Act.
COUNTRY REPORTS ON TERRORISM 2011
Strategic Assessment
The death of Usama bin Ladin, al-Qa'ida's founder and sole leader for the
past 22 years, highlighted a landmark year in the global effort to counter
terrorism. In addition to being an iconic leader whose personal story had a
profound attraction for violent extremists, bin Ladin was also a prime advocate
of the group's focus on the United States as a terrorist target. Even in the
years when he had to limit and manage his contacts with the rest of the
organization, it was clear from the trove of information collected from the
compound in Abbotabad, Pakistan, that he remained deeply involved in directing
its operations and setting its strategy.
Bin Ladin was not the only top al-Qa'ida leader who was removed from the
battlefield in 2011. In June, Ilyas Kashmiri, one of the most capable terrorist
operatives in South Asia, was killed in Pakistan. Also in June, Harun Fazul, an
architect of the 1998 U.S. Embassy bombings in Kenya and Tanzania, and the
foremost member of al-Qa'ida in East Africa, was killed in Somalia by the
Transitional Federal Government. In August, Atiya Abdul Rahman, al-Qa'ida's
second-in-command after bin Ladin's death and a senior operational commander,
was killed in Pakistan. In September, Anwar al-Aulaqi, al-Qa'ida in the Arabian
Peninsula's chief of external operations, was killed in Yemen.
The loss of bin Ladin and these other key operatives puts the network on a
path of decline that will be difficult to reverse. These successes are
attributable, in large part, to global counterterrorism cooperation, which has
put considerable pressure on the al-Qa'ida core leadership in Pakistan. But
despite blows in western Pakistan, al-Qa'ida, its affiliates, and its adherents
remain adaptable. They have shown resilience; retain the capability to conduct
regional and transnational attacks; and, thus, constitute an enduring and
serious threat to our national security.
As al-Qa'ida's core has gotten weaker, we have seen the rise of affiliated
groups around the world. Among these al-Qa'ida affiliates, al-Qa'ida in the
Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) represents a particularly serious threat. At year's
end, AQAP had taken control of territory in southern Yemen and was exploiting
unrest in that country to advance plots against regional and Western
interests.
In the Sahel, al-Qa'ida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), historically the
weakest of the al-Qa'ida affiliates, saw its coffers filled in 2011 with
kidnapping ransoms - a practice that other terrorist groups are also using to
considerable advantage. These resources, together with AQIM's efforts to take
advantage of the instability in Libya and Mali, have raised concern about this
group's trajectory.
In the Horn of Africa, al-Shabaab pursued a diverse set of targets,
demonstrating that it had both the willingness and ability to conduct attacks
outside of Somalia. In all, al-Shabaab's 2011 attacks resulted in the deaths of
more than 1,000 people. Among its most deadly attacks were a string of armed
assaults in May that killed over 120 people, a June attack on African Union
Mission in Somalia peacekeepers that killed 13, and an October vehicle-borne
improvised explosive device attack on a government compound in Mogadishu that
killed about 70. In Somalia, however, al-Shabaab has been weakened over the past
year as a result of the African Union Mission in Somalia, and Kenyan and
Ethiopian military offensives that forced the group's retreat from key locations
including Mogadishu.
In other areas that have been critically important theaters over the last
decade, we recognize a persistent threat. With the United States withdrawal of
its final forces from Iraq, Iraqi Security Forces have continued to confront the
al-Qa'ida affiliate there, showing substantial capability against the group.
Al-Qa'ida in Iraq (AQI) suffered leadership losses and continued to fail to
mobilize a Sunni community that turned decisively against it after the carnage
in the previous decade. However, AQI is resilient, as noted by its intermittent
high-profile attacks in country, and likely to carry out additional attacks into
the foreseeable future. In fact, towards the end of 2011, AQI was believed to be
extending its reach into Syria and seeking to exploit the popular uprising
against the dictatorship of Bashar al-Asad.
Despite the counterterrorism successes in disrupting and degrading the
capabilities of al-Qa'ida and its affiliates, al-Qa'ida and violent extremist
ideology and rhetoric continued to spread in some parts of the word. For
example, while not a formal al-Qa'ida affiliate, elements of the group known as
Boko Haram launched widespread attacks across Nigeria, including one in August
against the United Nations headquarters in Abuja, which signaled their ambition
and capability to attack non-Nigerian targets. The Sinai Peninsula is another
area of concern. A number of loosely knit militant groups have formed in the
Sinai, with some claiming ties and allegiance to al-Qa'ida - though no formal
links have been discovered. Also in August, a group of heavily armed militants
who entered southern Israel through the Sinai conducted a series of coordinated
attacks against Israeli civilian and military targets near Eilat, killing
eight.
Although there were no terrorist attacks in the United States in 2011, we
remain concerned about threats to the homeland. In the last several years,
individuals who appear to have been trained by al-Qa'ida and its affiliates have
operated within U.S. borders. Najibullah Zazi, a U.S. lawful permanent resident,
obtained training in Pakistan and, in 2010, pled guilty to charges that he was
planning to set off several bombs in the United States. And on October 14, 2011,
Nigerian national Umar Abdulmutallab pled guilty to all charges against him in
U.S. federal court in Michigan regarding his unsuccessful attempt on December
25, 2009, to detonate an explosive aboard a flight bound for Detroit, Michigan
at the behest of AQAP. While these individuals had direct ties to international
terrorist groups, separate incidents involving so-called "lone wolf" terrorists
also pose a threat to the U.S. homeland - one that can be difficult to detect in
advance.
Al-Qa'ida and its affiliates and adherents are far from the only terrorist
threat the United States faces. Iran, the world's leading state sponsor of
terrorism, continues to undermine international efforts to promote peace and
democracy and threatens stability, especially in the Middle East and South Asia.
Its use of terrorism as an instrument of policy was exemplified by the
involvement of elements of the Iranian regime in the plot to assassinate the
Saudi Ambassador in Washington, a conspiracy that the international community
strongly condemned through a UN General Assembly resolution in November.
Despite its pledge to support the stabilization of Iraq, in 2011 Iran
continued to provide lethal support - including weapons, training, funding, and
guidance - to Iraqi Shia militant groups that targeted U.S. and Iraqi forces.
Iran also continued to provide weapons, training, and funding to Hamas and other
Palestinian terrorist groups, including Palestine Islamic Jihad and the Popular
Front for the Liberation of Palestine-General Command. Since the end of the 2006
Israeli-Hizballah conflict, Iran has provided significant quantities of weaponry
and funding to Hizballah, in direct violation of United Nations Security Council
Resolution 1701.
Both Hamas and Hizballah continued to play destabilizing roles in the
Middle East.As a well-armed terrorist group in Lebanon, Hizballah persisted in
using force and threats to intimidate the Lebanese people.The group's robust
relationships with the regimes in Iran and Syria, involvement in illicit
financial activity, continued engagement in international attack planning, and
acquisition of increasingly sophisticated missiles and rockets continued to
threaten U.S. interests in the region.Meanwhile, Hamas retained its grip on
Gaza, where it continued to stockpile weapons that pose a serious threat to
regional stability.Moreover, Hamas and other Gaza-based groups continue to
smuggle weapons, materiel, and people through the Sinai, taking advantage of the
vast and largely ungoverned territory.
In South Asia, groups such as Lashkar-e-Tayyiba (LeT), Tehrik-e Taliban
Pakistan, and the Haqqani Network continued to cite U.S. interests as legitimate
targets for attacks. In 2011, LeT was responsible for multiple attacks. Most of
the attacks occurred in Jammu and Kashmir, with the deadliest being a May 27
attack on a private residence in the city of Kupwara that killed two civilians.
The Indian Mujahideen, which shares the LeT's ideology, committed multiple
deadly attacks in crowded areas of Mumbai and against the High Court in New
Delhi.
While terrorism from non-state actors related to al-Qa'ida, as well as
state-sponsored terrorism originating in Iran, remained the predominant concern
of the United States, a wide range of other forms of violent extremism
undermined peace and security around the world in 2011. The Kurdistan Workers'
Party (PKK) was active in 2011, with approximately 61 credited attacks that
killed at least 88 people and wounded over 200. Anarchists in Greece and Italy
continued to launch attacks, sometimes infiltrating otherwise peaceful
anti-austerity protests, to target government offices, foreign missions, and
symbols of the state - albeit at a lower level than in previous years. In
Northern Ireland, dissident Republican groups continued their campaigns of
violence. The inability of any country to escape from terrorism was underscored
in July in Norway, a country that has rarely been targeted in the past, when a
lone right-wing extremist espousing a radical xenophobia carried out an
attack that left more than 70 people dead and dozens more injured.
(Distributed by the Bureau of International Information Programs, U.S.
Department of State.)
No comments:
Post a Comment