India sees 40% increase in oil demand by 2020
Asia’s third largest economy, India’s oil demand is likely to grow by 40 percent in the next decade, said country’s Prime Minister.
Inaugurating Petrotech-2010 oil and gas conference here, Dr Manmohan Singh stressed on securing energy supplies at affordable prices to meet requirement of rapidly expanding economy.
India, which consumed over 138 million tones of fuel in 2009-10, imports three-fourth of its oil needs and one-third of its gas requirement. It imported $79.5 billion worth of 159.2 million tones of crude oil.
"Demand over the next 10 years will increase by over 40 per cent, whereas the increase in supply from the maturing oilfields is expected to be around 12 per cent," he said.
Domestic sources are inadequate to meet the increasing demand for energy. The nation's domestic oil production was about 34 million tones in the last fiscal.
To bridge the shortfall, the government is encouraging national oil companies to acquire oil and gas fields abroad, Dr. Singh said.
The Prime Minister stressed on building strong economic partnership with hydrocarbon-rich countries.
Dr. Singh said oil and gas today are not seen as mere commodities to be traded freely. "They are often used by countries to meet their political objectives."
In the last two decades, Asia's share in the growth in demand for hydrocarbons has risen substantially while that of the OECD countries and the European Union has declined. "This shift has been caused by high rates of economic growth and increasing populations in many Asian countries."
"There are supply-side uncertainties. Many mature fields are declining in production. Some energy endowed countries have problems in augmenting production because of various reasons including lack of the required technology and political uncertainty," Dr. Singh said.
Another challenge, he said, is climate change. "Because of this challenge, the demand on energy technologies goes beyond productivity and efficiency issues," he said, calling for a rethink on the traditional energy basket being loaded in favour of fossil fuels.
"The concept of a Global Energy Equilibrium (the theme of Petrotech conference) suggests a matching of demand and supply of hydrocarbons in a manner which is optimum.
However, apart from the difficulty of defining what an optimum balance would exactly mean, there are many other factors which have a bearing on how different countries meet their hydrocarbon demand," he added.
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