INR
Downslide :
Indian
Rupee- The worst performing currency in
Asia in 2011 and the third worst globally which has depreciated by 26% against U.S Dollar (USD) since August
last year plummeted to a historic low of
INR 55.82 to a USD today. Analysts
foresee further downfall of the rupee to INR 56-57 against USD in future against
the backdrop of risk
aversion hitting global markets particularly
with India’s largest trading partner Europe
and sentiment souring over India because of its gaping trade and
current account deficits, paltry manufacturing sector growth, rising number of
scams and competing political interests.
The
worst affected by the Indian currency volatility are the Importers, followed by
Government and Individuals since the external cost of borrowing or interest rate
rises. Students studying abroad are the most helpless of the lot due to constant
fluctuation of the currency.
MCCI is seeking
immediate interventions of RBI and the Government to check
the sharp movements in the rupee and prevent a downward spiral in its value,
but balancing it with the need to
retain reserves in
the event of prolonged
turbulence.
Our
Chamber also recommends that the Central Bank needs to infuse
more dollars through open market window to curb the dollar demand thereby
enabling the stock market to boom automatically. Government requires to
undertake more focused policy measures by attracting long term Overseas
Investments into India by opening key sectors including Retail, Insurance,
Pension, Defence and Aviation which would increase capital flows and reduce the
pressure on the currency, inflation and interest rate.
Our
future depends on, how effectively the Central bank and the Government play
their master strokes to balance the
Foreign exchange rates with little impact
to the relative
areas of Foreign
exchange usage and dodge the
economic upheaval unscathed.
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