Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Gold Wedge


Gold may fall to $1450 on wedge and decreasing volume.Gold has been forming a wedge pattern for the past few days and the decreasing volume accompanying it indicates to a classic wedge pattern.

Meaning- Gold has a strong chance that it will fall.Now, when will it happen and where to target are questions on which we can only make assumptions.

-A rising wedge pattern in a down trend with decreasing volume generally implies that the next move will be downward. Break out to the downside can indicate a good shorting opportunity.

-A Possible Trigger: The EU has to devise a strategy by October 23 that will resolve the European debt crisis. A successful plan will result in a global sell-off in gold.

-Target: The first target will be around $1450 and the next target will be around the $1300 area.

COMEX gold is currently trading at $1689, with $1625 acting as a reasonably good support. However, in the event of a breakout to downside, the support is not expected to hold.

(From our research desk-Umesh)



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